# coding=utf8 %matplotlib inline import numpy as np import pandas as pd from sklearn.ensemble import RandomForestClassifier as rf from sklearn.cross_validation import cross_val_score from sklearn.linear_model import LogisticRegression as lr import matplotlib.pyplot as plt def show_importance_of_sub_model(total_size,factor_size,special_percent): each_dt_size = total_size/factor_size dt = pd.DataFrame() y = pd.DataFrame() special_size = int(factor_size*special_percent) special = range(special_size) for i in range(factor_size): dt_current = pd.DataFrame(np.random.random((each_dt_size,5))) dt_current[‘type‘] = ‘type‘+str(100+i) y_current = pd.DataFrame(np.ones((each_dt_size,))) if i in special: y_current[(dt_current[0]+dt_current[1]+dt_current[2])>0.6] = -1 else: y_current[(dt_current[0]+dt_current[1]+dt_current[2])>1.5] = -1 y = pd.concat((y,y_current)) dt = pd.concat((dt,dt_current)) type = pd.get_dummies(dt[‘type‘]) X_ori = pd.concat((dt,type),1) del X_ori[‘type‘] y = np.array(y[0]) clf = lr(penalty=‘l1‘) clf.fit(type,y) coef = clf.coef_[0] dt[‘coef‘] = 0 for i in range(len(type.columns)): dt.loc[dt[‘type‘]==type.columns[i],‘coef‘] = coef[i] X_sub = dt del X_sub[‘type‘] clf = rf(n_estimators=1000) return [cross_val_score(clf,X_ori,y,cv=10).mean(),cross_val_score(clf,X_sub,y,cv=10).mean()] def performance_ev(factor_size=100,special_percent=0.2,total_size=10000): x = None outcome = list() if type(factor_size) == list: x = factor_size factor_sizes = factor_size for factor_size in factor_sizes: outcome.append(show_importance_of_sub_model(total_size,factor_size,special_percent)) else: x = special_percent special_percents = special_percent for special_percent in special_percents: outcome.append(show_importance_of_sub_model(total_size,factor_size,special_percent)) performance = pd.DataFrame(outcome,columns=[‘dummy‘,‘sub_model‘]) plt.plot(x,performance)
%matplotlib inline performance_ev(factor_size = [5,10,20,40,80])
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对离散特征,使用子模型建模能提升效果
离散特征越重要(重要的值越多,对应special_percent越高),使用子模型带来的提升越大
离散特征的取值越多,RandomForest的预测效果越差
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